Despite lower yields post-CPI, gold prices remained tepid, leading to questions about whether the bullish case for the precious metal has ended. Early session gains induced by the April U.S. inflation report were quickly given up as U.S. Treasury yields failed to provide sustained support for gold.
The US Dollar is expected to face challenges in the near future due to the upcoming BoE Rate Call and speeches by ECB members. It is anticipated that the EUR/USD exchange rate may increase. The US Dollar’s position was weakened by a combination of factors including CPI and reduced Treasury yields. Furthermore, there was a decline in China’s CPI for April, which has sparked discussions about potential changes in central bank policy. All eyes are focused on the BoE today, but it is also worth paying attention to any comments made by ECB members.
Despite the efforts of ECB speakers, the EUR has not experienced an increase in value, likely due to growing concerns regarding the US debt ceiling and corresponding market trends. The dominant events on the economic calendar today include US PPI, as well as speeches from both the Fed and ECB. There is uncertainty regarding whether or not the current ascending channel will remain intact.
The Australian Dollar experienced a moment of instability following the release of data showing soft China CPI and PPI. Despite this, AUD/USD remains at the upper end of its range and may continue to rise as Chinese inflation has recently decreased and the People’s Bank of China may take action. Additionally, weakened CPI data in the United States has caused the US Dollar to decline. It remains to be seen whether AUD/USD will reach new highs.
The Japanese yen experienced an increase in value while the USD/JPY exchange rate declined following the release of US CPI data. Investor attention has now shifted to the upcoming BoE rate decision as Treasury yields were negatively impacted by the yen’s gain. While the headline CPI data was lower than expected, core CPI remains stable. The USD/JPY market is anticipating the BoE’s decision and observing an ascending triangle pattern.